NVIDIA

NVDA

Bearish$212.57-1.00%1D · 2026-08-24

SettledOpen NVDA

Predicted move

-1.00%

Target $212.57

Actual move at settlement

-2.91%

Confirmed close $208.48

Both measured from $214.72 on 2026-08-21 · Target close 2026-08-24

Direction correct

Actual -2.91%Move error 1.91 pp85 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

2nd try, big bearish candle with high volume

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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