Apple

AAPL

Bullish$312.44+1.00%1D · 2026-08-24

SettledOpen AAPL

Predicted move

+1.00%

Target $312.44

Actual move at settlement

+0.32%

Confirmed close $310.34

Both measured from $309.35 on 2026-08-21 · Target close 2026-08-24

Direction correct

Actual +0.32%Move error 0.68 pp95 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

hanging man candlestick pattern

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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