Microsoft

MSFT

Bullish$490.49+1.50%1D · 2026-08-24

SettledOpen MSFT

Predicted move

+1.50%

Target $490.49

Actual move at settlement

+0.84%

Confirmed close $487.31

Both measured from $483.24 on 2026-08-21 · Target close 2026-08-24

Direction correct

Actual +0.84%Move error 0.66 pp95 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

spike and retrace end

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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