CrowdTicks

Apple

AAPL

Bullish$315.54+2.00%3D · 2026-08-26
SettledOpen AAPL

Predicted move

+2.00%

Target $315.54

Actual move at settlement

+1.33%

Confirmed close $313.45

Both measured from $309.35 on 2026-08-21 · Target close 2026-08-26

Direction correct

Actual +1.33%Move error 0.67 pp95 / 100 points
How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

2nd try top

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

2
Log in to comment