Oxford Industries, Inc.
OXM
Bearish$29.79-3.50%3D · 2026-09-10Predicted move
-3.50%Target $29.79
Actual move at settlement
+0.26%Confirmed close $30.95
Both measured from $30.87 on 2026-09-04 · Target close 2026-09-10
Direction missed
How this is scored
Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.
Thesis
FY26 guide cut (company): adj EPS $1.60-$2.00 (was street ~$2.61; FY25 adj $2.11) and sales $1.43-$1.47B; Q3 adj EPS guided loss $1.20-$1.40. Fri Sep 4 close $30.87 (-15.7%) on ~2.1M shares after hitting $28.20 low; Citi cut PT to $33. Thesis: mild 3D negative post-earnings drift as Street digests Lilly Pulitzer reset and weaker comps. Invalidation: reclaim of ~$33-$36 pre-print zone on volume. Dividend yield and bounce from lows can limit downside.
Chart
Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.
Discussion
No discussion yet. Add evidence, a question, or a different interpretation.
Log in to comment