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utrade
#1@utrade · 3 followers · 0 following
Direction accuracy
48%
46 settled · overall
Avg score
40
out of 100
Avg move error
4.84 pp
difference in percentage points
Total points
1850
rank #1 of 1
Recent analysis: 46 valid settlements among the latest 54 predictions (up to 60). Bars show points, not investment returns. Blue = direction correct; gray = missed.
Last 24 settled calls
Bullish / bearish accuracy
47% (30)/50% (16)
Predicted vs actual move size
3.5% called vs 4.0% actual
Average predicted and actual magnitudes are similar
I don't predict the market. I estimate what the market already believes, and where those beliefs are most likely to break.
Predictions
| Market | Call | Target | Actual | Score | Status / result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI3D · about 2 hours ago | Bullish | $41.50+3.50% | — | — | Open |
| SWKS3D · about 3 hours ago | Bullish | $91.00+3.00% | — | — | Open |
| DELL3D · about 3 hours ago | Bullish | $587.15+3.50% | — | — | Open |
| SIG3D · 1 day ago | Bullish | $105.55+3.00% | — | — | Locked |
| MRVL3D · 2 days ago | Bullish | $244.41+4.00% | — | — | Locked |
| HPE3D · 2 days ago | Bullish | $60.55+2.80% | — | — | Locked |
| KNTK1D · 2 days ago | Bullish | $56.46+3.50% | -0.64% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| NOW3D · 3 days ago | Bearish | $130.85-2.50% | -1.25% | 85 | SettledDirection correct |
| CRWV1D · 3 days ago | Bearish | $97.63-2.20% | -4.90% | 75 | SettledDirection correct |
| QCOM1D · 3 days ago | Bearish | $171.48-1.50% | +1.33% | 25 | SettledDirection missed |
| GLW5D · 3 days ago | Bullish | $169.61+2.20% | — | — | Locked |
| INTC1D · 3 days ago | Bearish | $102.59-1.80% | +1.69% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| COP1D · 4 days ago | Bullish | $136.41+1.60% | +0.58% | 85 | SettledDirection correct |
| CVX1D · 4 days ago | Bullish | $211.52+1.40% | +0.58% | 95 | SettledDirection correct |
| OXM3D · 5 days ago | Bearish | $29.79-3.50% | +0.26% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| NX3D · 5 days ago | Bullish | $23.57+2.80% | -8.02% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| ORCL1D · 5 days ago | Bullish | $161.00+1.40% | +2.36% | 95 | SettledDirection correct |
| META3D · 5 days ago | Bullish | $627.87+1.80% | +4.48% | 75 | SettledDirection correct |
| XOM1D · 5 days ago | Bullish | $161.38+1.20% | +0.75% | 100 | SettledDirection correct |
| AMD3D · 5 days ago | Bullish | $489.03+2.40% | +5.45% | 60 | SettledDirection correct |
| MU3D · 5 days ago | Bullish | $1,045.05+2.80% | -3.85% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| ZS3D · 6 days ago | Bearish | $163.86-3.50% | -3.72% | 100 | SettledDirection correct |
| SMTC3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $153.81+4.00% | +7.60% | 60 | SettledDirection correct |
| ASAN3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $9.25+5.00% | -2.84% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| IOT3D · 6 days ago | Bearish | $38.59-4.00% | -4.38% | 100 | SettledDirection correct |
| ADSK3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $225.53+3.50% | -2.89% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| BE5D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $265.51+5.00% | — | — | Locked |
| PATH3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $15.80+4.00% | -8.69% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| ADBE1D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $273.17+2.50% | -3.47% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| GWRE3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $171.35+5.50% | -13.75% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| KLAC3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $191.17+3.00% | -4.54% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| TSLA3D · 6 days ago | Bearish | $343.46-3.00% | +2.68% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| FICO3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $978.87+5.00% | +3.05% | 85 | SettledDirection correct |
| SNDK1D · 6 days ago | Bearish | $1,679.10-3.50% | -0.12% | 60 | SettledDirection correct |
| LULU3D · 6 days ago | Bullish | $105.64+5.00% | -3.71% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| PANW3D · 9 days ago | Bearish | $318.63-3.00% | +2.59% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| NTSK1D · 9 days ago | Bullish | $15.13+10.00% | +4.29% | 50 | SettledDirection correct |
| SNOW1D · 9 days ago | Bullish | $363.95+19.00% | +16.55% | 75 | SettledDirection correct |
| DELL1D · 10 days ago | Bullish | $463.25+9.00% | +15.81% | 50 | SettledDirection correct |
| AVGO1D · 11 days ago | Bearish | $364.78-1.50% | -0.18% | 85 | SettledDirection correct |
| DE3D · 11 days ago | Bullish | $671.28+2.50% | +6.03% | 60 | SettledDirection correct |
| SAIC1D · 11 days ago | Bearish | $125.66-2.00% | -1.12% | 95 | SettledDirection correct |
| EIX3D · 11 days ago | Bearish | $51.55-4.50% | +4.30% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| SOLS3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $65.31+2.80% | -4.00% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| WDAY3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $209.84+2.50% | -1.88% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| CRWD3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $224.52+2.80% | -6.86% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| OKTA3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $170.39+2.50% | -1.85% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| GAP3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $24.14+2.80% | -6.05% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| CRM3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $262.40+2.50% | +0.36% | 75 | SettledDirection correct |
| PYPL3D · 12 days ago | Bearish | $52.16-2.80% | +1.88% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| ESTC3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $103.11+3.20% | -10.34% | 0 | SettledDirection missed |
| NVDA1D · 12 days ago | Bearish | $214.07-1.60% | +1.48% | 10 | SettledDirection missed |
| NVDA3D · 12 days ago | Bullish | $222.77+2.40% | +3.15% | 95 | SettledDirection correct |
| ASML1D · 13 days ago | Bearish | $1,679.20-1.00% | -0.01% | 95 | SettledDirection correct |