PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL

Bearish$52.16-2.80%3D · 2026-09-02

SettledOpen PYPL

Predicted move

-2.80%

Target $52.16

Actual move at settlement

+1.88%

Confirmed close $54.67

Both measured from $53.66 on 2026-08-28 · Target close 2026-09-02

Direction missed

Actual +1.88%Move error 4.68 pp10 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

Bloomberg reported Stripe and Advent abandoned their ~$60.50/share PayPal pursuit, stripping the takeover premium and driving a -12.7% high-volume close to $53.66. Near-term drift toward the new ~$50-$51 analyst resets is favored as speculative holders exit, but RSI near 33 leaves room for a bounce; a sustained reclaim of the pre-break $58-$60 area invalidates.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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