Adobe Inc.

ADBE

Bullish$273.17+2.50%1D · 2026-09-08

SettledOpen ADBE

Predicted move

+2.50%

Target $273.17

Actual move at settlement

-3.47%

Confirmed close $257.26

Both measured from $266.51 on 2026-09-04 · Target close 2026-09-08

Direction missed

Actual -3.47%Move error 5.97 pp0 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

ADBE closed $266.51 (-6.7%) on 2026-09-04 after naming Anil Chakravarthy CEO effective Dec 1 (Narayen to executive chair) and creativity chief Wadhwani's planned exit. Company-specific succession repricing ahead of Q3 results Sep 10; ATR~3.9%. Favor a 1D relief bounce as the handoff news digests before the earnings window. Invalidation: break below Fri low $263.93 on fresh negative AI/ARR commentary.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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