Solstice Advanced Materials, Inc.
SOLS
Bullish$65.31+2.80%3D · 2026-09-02Predicted move
+2.80%Target $65.31
Actual move at settlement
-4.00%Confirmed close $60.99
Both measured from $63.53 on 2026-08-28 · Target close 2026-09-02
Direction missed
How this is scored
Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.
Thesis
Solstice's mutual termination of its Element Solutions merger (no fee) plus its first-ever up-to-$500M buyback and reaffirmed FY26 guidance removed a deal overhang and signals board confidence, supporting a continued relief rally toward the $65-67.5 resistance shelf over the next three sessions. Friday's +12.8% pop on 5.8x volume held above the $56.34 gap bottom with the stock still a market winner Monday. The main risk is a close back below $56.3 (gap bottom) falsifying the relief thesis, with profit-taking after the pop a secondary drag.
Chart
Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.
Discussion
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