Broadcom Inc.

AVGO

Bearish$364.78-1.50%1D · 2026-09-01

SettledOpen AVGO

Predicted move

-1.50%

Target $364.78

Actual move at settlement

-0.18%

Confirmed close $369.68

Both measured from $370.34 on 2026-08-31 · Target close 2026-09-01

Direction correct

Actual -0.18%Move error 1.32 pp85 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

AVGO reports fiscal Q3 on Sep 2 after the close with revenue guided to $29.4B and $16B AI semiconductor sales; after June's -12.6% post-earnings drop when management did not raise the $100B FY27 AI target, investors are focused on forward guidance rather than a headline beat. Options imply ~8% event risk and premarket is soft into the print, favoring a one-session pre-earnings drift lower; invalidation on reclaim of $375.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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