CoreWeave, Inc.

CRWV

Bearish$97.63-2.20%1D · 2026-09-09

SettledOpen CRWV

Predicted move

-2.20%

Target $97.63

Actual move at settlement

-4.90%

Confirmed close $94.94

Both measured from $99.83 on 2026-09-08 · Target close 2026-09-09

Direction correct

Actual -4.90%Move error 2.70 pp75 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

CRWV closed 2026-09-08 at $99.83 (+11.72%) on AI-infra enthusiasm after OpenAI GPT-6 Astra (WSJ) plus a broader neocloud lift tied to Nebius-Palantir headlines (no CRWV-specific filing). Volume ~51M vs ~28M avg. Tape ran $92.88-$104.59 and closed off the high after a multi-day surge from the low-$80s, so a large share of the sector beta looks priced. ATR14 ~5.2%. Point -2.2% into the next session ahead of Thursday CPI; invalidation if price reclaim-holds above the $104.59 session high.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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