Asana, Inc.

ASAN

Bullish$9.25+5.00%3D · 2026-09-10

SettledOpen ASAN

Predicted move

+5.00%

Target $9.25

Actual move at settlement

-2.84%

Confirmed close $8.56

Both measured from $8.81 on 2026-09-04 · Target close 2026-09-10

Direction missed

Actual -2.84%Move error 7.84 pp0 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

Post Q2 FY27 washout: ASAN gapped from $10.09 to $8.74, closed $8.81 (-12.7%) on 3.3x volume after a beat but soft ~9% growth guide. Technically held MA50 (~$8.57) with Fri low $8.32; RSI~45. Expect partial mean-reversion toward MA20 (~$9.55) over 3 sessions after Labor Day. Invalidation: sustained close below $8.32/MA50 on fresh SaaS selling.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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