Science Applications International Corporation

SAIC

Bearish$125.66-2.00%1D · 2026-09-01

SettledOpen SAIC

Predicted move

-2.00%

Target $125.66

Actual move at settlement

-1.12%

Confirmed close $126.78

Both measured from $128.22 on 2026-08-31 · Target close 2026-09-01

Direction correct

Actual -1.12%Move error 0.88 pp95 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

SAIC beat Q2 FY27 with adj EPS $3.01 (+30% vs est) and raised FY27 revenue/EPS guidance, but the stock gapped to a $142.66 52-week high then faded -10% intraday on 3.5x volume to close at $128.22. With 0.6x book-to-bill, funded backlog near half a year of revenue, and consensus PT below spot, a one-session digestion of the earnings spike is favored; invalidation on reclaim of $135.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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