UiPath, Inc.

PATH

Bullish$15.80+4.00%3D · 2026-09-10

SettledOpen PATH

Predicted move

+4.00%

Target $15.80

Actual move at settlement

-8.69%

Confirmed close $13.87

Both measured from $15.19 on 2026-09-04 · Target close 2026-09-10

Direction missed

Actual -8.69%Move error 12.69 pp0 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

Post Q2 FY27: revenue/op-inc beat and FY guide raised, but Q3 growth decelerates to ~8% from 13% and billings slightly missed; PATH crashed -16.6% Fri to $15.19 near Wells $15 PT (Mizuho $14). Expect partial mean-reversion bounce into first 3 sessions after Labor Day as climax volume ($104M) and raised FY guide argue Friday overshot. Invalidation: sustained close below ~$14.50 / Mizuho $14.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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