Oracle Corporation

ORCL

Bullish$161.00+1.40%1D · 2026-09-08

SettledOpen ORCL

Predicted move

+1.40%

Target $161.00

Actual move at settlement

+2.36%

Confirmed close $162.52

Both measured from $158.78 on 2026-09-04 · Target close 2026-09-08

Direction correct

Actual +2.36%Move error 0.96 pp95 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

Pre-earnings momentum: ORCL closed 158.78 Fri (+3.1%) after +5.7% Thu, pressing 20d high 159.7 on ~1.2x vol. Above SMA20 148.3 / SMA50 139.8; RSI14 61.5; MACD hist +0.9. Catalysts: HPE AI networking expansion + Street target updates into Sep 10 AMC print. Expectation gap: cash tape has not yet digested weekend AI-infra tape into Tue reopen; 1D favored over 3/5D to avoid earnings binary. Invalidation: fail under ~156.7 Fri low or sharp fade of AI-infra bid.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

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