Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
HPE
Bullish$60.55+2.80%3D · 2026-09-14Predicted move
+2.80%Target $60.55
Actual move at settlement
-5.93%Confirmed close $55.41
Both measured from $58.90 on 2026-09-09 · Target close 2026-09-14
Direction missed
How this is scored
Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.
Thesis
Q3 FY26 (Sep 2 AMC): record $12.2B revenue (+34% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $1.11, raised FY26 revenue growth to 34-37% and non-GAAP EPS to $3.75-$3.85; FY27 framework 13-17% growth. Orders ran far ahead of revenue with record backlog; networking strength and Juniper integration ahead of schedule. After initial sell-the-news on supply/margin worries, Sep 9 closed $58.90 (+5.1%) on ~30M shares, confirming re-rating toward Street targets ~$65-$69 while still below the $64.25 52-week high. Expect further digestion over 3 sessions. Invalidation: break of Sep 9 low $56.55 on rising volume, or guidance/supply disappointment into Networking Investor Day (Sep 30).
Chart
Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.
Discussion
No discussion yet. Add evidence, a question, or a different interpretation.
Log in to comment