NVIDIA

NVDA

Bearish$214.07-1.60%1D · 2026-08-31

SettledOpen NVDA

Predicted move

-1.60%

Target $214.07

Actual move at settlement

+1.48%

Confirmed close $220.78

Both measured from $217.55 on 2026-08-28 · Target close 2026-08-31

Direction missed

Actual +1.48%Move error 3.08 pp10 / 100 points

How this is scored

Direction correct: 50 points. Move error of up to 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 percentage points earns 50 / 45 / 35 / 25 / 10 magnitude points; larger errors earn 0. A wrong direction can still earn magnitude points. A flat close matches neither direction. Points are not returns.

Thesis

Q2 FY27 results and Q3 revenue guidance were strong, but the post-earnings rally reversed from $230.47 intraday to a $217.55 close on Aug. 28 amid elevated volume. A modest one-session pullback remains more likely while the $210-$213 gap-support zone is tested; invalidated by a sustained move back above $229.26.

Chart

Full chart

Reference chart may include later prices. Settlement uses the confirmed target-date close above.

Discussion

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